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Inflation Surge Pushes Markets Toward Conservative Approach

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Inflation Concerns Drive Federal Reserve’s Likely Conservative Rate Cut

The Federal Reserve meets next week, and experts are cautioning against a bigger-than-expected rate cut amid ongoing inflation concerns. Recent inflation data has led markets to predict a more conservative approach. As of Thursday, there’s only a 15% chance of a 50 basis point cut, down from 44% last week, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Yardeni Research strategist Eric Wallerstein said the Fed likely won’t cut more than 25 basis points, warning that a larger cut could trigger market volatility. Wallerstein noted, “For everyone asking for a 50 basis point cut, they should reconsider the volatility that would cause in short-term funding markets.”

With core inflation rising 0.3% in August, higher than expected, and the labor market showing moderate cooling, many economists believe a more measured cut is the likely outcome. Inflation continues to be a major concern, influencing both market predictions and Fed decisions. Therefore, managing inflation effectively remains crucial for the Fed’s policy strategy.

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Antitrust Lawsuit Over Pocket Listings Set for Trial in 2025

The antitrust lawsuit by Top Agent Network (TAN) against the National Association of Realtors (NAR) regarding the Clear Cooperation Policy, which bans pocket listings, is scheduled for trial on November 3, 2025, in San Francisco. Originally filed in 2020 and dismissed in 2021, the case was reopened by the Ninth Circuit Court in 2023. TAN claims the policy limits agents’ marketing options, violating the Sherman Antitrust Act. Key deadlines include amended pleadings due in December 2024 and the close of expert discovery in June 2025.

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New Rule Targets Non-Financed Property Transfers

On August 28, 2024, the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) introduced new regulations to enhance transparency in U.S. residential real estate transactions. The “Anti-Money Laundering Regulations for Residential Real Estate Transfers” will take effect on December 1, 2025. This rule requires real estate professionals to file a “Real Estate Report” for non-financed property transfers involving legal entities such as trusts or corporations.

The regulation aims to combat money laundering and financial crimes within the real estate market. By mandating detailed reporting, FinCEN seeks to make it more difficult for illicit actors to use real estate transactions for laundering money. The “Real Estate Report” will include comprehensive information about the property, the parties involved, and the financial aspects of the transaction, enhancing oversight and accountability in the industry.

Real estate professionals, including those who prepare deeds or legal instruments for property transfers, must ensure these reports are accurately completed and submitted in a timely manner. This change is part of FinCEN’s broader effort to tighten oversight and reduce financial crime risks across various sectors and transactions. For additional details and updates, visit fincen.gov.

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About 3 Things You Need to Know

Stream “3 Things You Need to Know” with Kayla Walsh, your essential daily update on the real estate world! Airing Monday through Friday, Kayla brings you the top three stories that matter most in real estate.

From economic shifts and housing market trends to celebrity property news and Federal Reserve updates, she delivers the crucial facts without opinion or editorializing.

With Kayla’s straightforward approach, you get the information you need to make well-informed decisions about your real estate ventures. Whether you’re an industry professional, a prospective buyer, or simply interested in market trends, “3 Things You Need to Know” keeps you in the loop with clarity and accuracy.

Start your day with Kayla Walsh for your daily real estate review.

3 Things You Need To Know – Copyright 2024 – OnTrack Agent 

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